Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 14.919838 17.019855 19.269789 21.855006 24.738600 27.851202 31.460263
2024-10-13 11.902410 14.731752 17.977305 21.957679 26.688415 32.111078 38.775947
2024-10-20 9.288391 12.418998 16.247213 21.232242 27.506733 35.093207 44.905165
2024-10-27 7.267973 10.470210 14.632856 20.367761 27.979386 37.641075 50.722652
2024-11-03 6.329395 9.751310 14.448561 21.248287 30.696876 43.198127 60.790553
2024-11-10 5.878402 9.619204 15.009191 23.158125 34.940744 51.093764 74.581368
2024-11-17 5.268682 9.147920 15.007782 24.245485 38.117317 57.781203 87.260377
2024-11-24 4.515418 8.326055 14.362458 24.282327 39.742600 62.382701 97.337840
2024-12-01 3.765988 7.380230 13.385200 23.668579 40.290131 65.411603 105.312900
2024-12-08 3.245023 6.734166 12.794832 23.575262 41.588738 69.601479 115.239700
2024-12-15 2.879490 6.304041 12.502612 23.918799 43.578426 74.945890 127.222988
2024-12-22 2.496362 5.772992 11.957087 23.751982 44.682686 78.935619 137.307630
2024-12-29 2.336682 5.673422 12.207582 25.056765 48.458816 87.599863 155.583810
2025-01-05 2.061891 5.285926 11.862569 25.235997 50.291249 93.195315 169.254027
2025-01-12 1.729174 4.707500 11.060912 24.458369 50.332628 95.764920 178.068848
2025-01-19 1.434240 4.153698 10.225595 23.507171 49.947693 97.543292 185.625024
2025-01-26 1.339559 4.065717 10.364818 24.524280 53.350896 106.196623 205.527594
2025-02-02 1.336798 4.211048 11.034094 26.701913 59.159395 119.506266 234.303751
2025-02-09 1.265023 4.160992 11.253361 27.942976 63.210380 129.839494 258.316333
2025-02-16 1.125605 3.897347 10.939467 27.991433 64.864406 135.825896 274.803944
2025-02-23 0.963454 3.531710 10.326345 27.300772 64.934142 138.814838 285.945933
2025-03-02 0.852523 3.292686 9.990038 27.198063 66.209657 144.161231 301.706350
2025-03-09 0.777377 3.147975 9.872770 27.589380 68.554909 151.694604 321.913730